Zack M. Davis
(originally published at Less Wrong) As a casual formal epistemology fan, you've probably heard that the philosophical notion of causality can be formalized in terms of Bayesian networks—but also as a casual formal epistemology fan, you also probably don't know the details all that well. One day,...
Zack M. Davis
(originally published at Less Wrong) Derek Powell, Kara Weisman, and Ellen M. Markman's "Articulating Lay Theories Through Graphical Models: A Study of Beliefs Surrounding Vaccination Decisions" (a conference paper from CogSci 2018) represents an exciting advance in marketing research, showing how...
Zack M. Davis
(originally published at Less Wrong) Sometimes, people are reluctant to admit that they were wrong about something, because they're afraid that "You are wrong about this" carries inextricable connotations of "You are stupid and bad." But this behavior is, itself, wrong, for at least two reasons....
Zack M. Davis
—and the moment or more than a moment when the dam breaks, when the damned break and the void inside their skulls is filled (the atmosphere rushing in quickly, but not so quickly that one couldn't sense its motion) with the terror that is knowledge of the specter of continuity …