Forecasting Without Prophecy: a plain-text discipline
Alex Chernysh
Why I leave the future to astrology and reach for reference classes, premortems, and calibration logs instead. Disciplined uncertainty in plain text. Read full article →
Alex Chernysh
Why I leave the future to astrology and reach for reference classes, premortems, and calibration logs instead. Disciplined uncertainty in plain text. Read full article →