Using the v-Lab data, we are seeing that correlations across sectors in the US are falling and showing more dispersion. If the stock market, like all markets, can be viewed as a network, we are seeing the network expanding after a period of strong connection in the first quarter of 2025. We are...
One of the key signs of a stock bubble is the issuance of new stock. Simply put, when the stock market is overvalued, smart firms will issue new stock to take advantage of these high values. The increase in supply will flood the market and generate downward pressure on stocks. We are seeing more...
The SEC proposed that firms would only have to provide information on a semiannual basis. Yes, it is a burden on companies to provide quarterly reports, but what makes US markets so liquid and effective for all investors is that corporate information is readily available. Now, there may be some...
From the newsletter, Owenomics, we see that stock dispersion is at levels not achieved since 2008 and 2000. Now, this may not be an indicator of a market top, but it does tell us something about market behavior. Dispersion is not the same as volatility. Volatility measures deviations from the mean...